在很多方面，中国已实现朝向现代化和城市化主导的发达国家方向转型。但是，依赖非熟练劳动力增长所实现的经济高速发展将给经济持续发展带来巨大挑战。过去40年农村劳动力持续流入城市，但近期制造业和建筑业就业吸纳农民工的能力开始下降，城市非熟练劳动工资上升的趋势发生逆转。因而，提升全民劳动力的教育水平和社会保障水平是推动中国未来实现经济可持续发展的关键。Rozelle将用他在中国的系列研究成果详细论述上述观点。

In so many ways, China has quickly transformed itself from a place of stark poverty into a modern, urban, technologically savvy economic powerhouse. While China’s growth strategy of relying on unskilled labor has been effective for three decades, it is now experiencing a reversal in the unskilled wage, as companies inside the country have begun automating at an unprecedented rate and are searching for cheaper labors in other countries. To guarantee the long-term sustainable development of China, it is crucial to improve the level of education and social security of labor force. In this talk, professor Rozelle will carefully examine the related issue drawing on his research in China.

【主讲人介绍】

Scott Rozelle is the Helen F. Farnsworth Senior Fellow and the co-director of Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions in the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research at Stanford University. His research focuses almost exclusively on China and is concerned with: agricultural policy, including the supply, demand, and trade in agricultural projects; the emergence and evolution of markets and other economic institutions in the transition process and their implications for equity and efficiency; and the economics of poverty and inequality, with an emphasis on rural education, health and nutrition. Rozelle's papers have been published in top academic journals, including Science, Nature, American Economic Review, and the Journal of Economic Literature. In recognition of his outstanding achievements, Rozelle has received the Friendship Award in 2008, the highest award given to a non-Chinese by the Premier.